Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Are the Red Sox a good value play tonight when they host their AL East rivals the Rays at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Red Sox are -129 money line favorites versus the Rays, who have odds of +119 to pull off the upset in Boston. With Chris Archer set to face Rick Porcello in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8.5 runs.
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In two starts Archer is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. He didn’t factor into the decision last Saturday versus the Blue Jays but did rack up eight strike outs while allowing just two earned runs. He also surrendered five hits and walked three over 7 2/3 innings of solid work.
Porcello is 1-0 on the year after making two starts. His ERA sits at 4.38 and owns a 1.33 WHIP over 12 1/3 innings of work. He allowed three runs on 11 hits and walked one across six innings on Sunday in a no-decision versus the Tigers. He also struck out eight and worked in and out of trouble throughout the game.
Bet Tonight’s Rays vs. Red Sox Game
OUR PICK: The Rays are 2-10 in Archer’s last 12 starts against American League East opponents, are 5-22 in his last 27 outings when facing a team with a winning record and are 8-18 in his last 26 outings dating back to last season. They have not been successful in Archer’s road starts either, going 6-14 in his last 20 outings away from Tropicana Field. The Rays have struggled versus the Red Sox as well, going 1-4 in Archer’s last five road starts versus Boston and are 1-5 in their last six games overall at Fenway. They’re also 1-10 in Archer’s last 11 games against the Red Sox, who are 5-1 in Porcello’s last six starts versus the Rays.
FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: BOSTON RED SOX -129