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MLB Predictions: Will Padres upset Giants in series opener? 4/28/17

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Will the Padres upset the Giants in the series-opener tonight at 10:15PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the the Giants are -167 money line favorites to knock off the Padres, who have odds of +150 to pull off the upset tonight at AT&T Park. With Luis Perdomo set to oppose Jeff Samardzija in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs.

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PADRES KEY TRENDS: The Padres have struggled on the road, dropping 40 of their last 55 games away from Petco Park. They are also 2-7 in their last nine games following a loss and 15-42 in their last 57 road games versus a right-handed starter. They’re also 1-5 in their last six games overall, 2-9 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed starter, and are winless 0-4 in their last four games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game.

GIANTS KEY TRENDS: The Giants are winless at 0-5 in Samardzija’s last five home starts and are 0-5 in his last five outings versus a National League West. They’re also 0-6 in his last six outings when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game and 5-17 in his last 22 starts overall. The Giants have lost five of Samardzija’s last seven starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game as well.

Bet Tonight’s Padres vs. Giants Game

OUR PREDICTION: The Padres have won 10 of their last 13 games versus the Giants and have won five of Perdomo’s last six starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Giants, meanwhile, are also just 2-6 in their last eight games overall and have lost seven of their last nine divisional games. Until San Francisco starts playing better ball, there’s no reason to lay big money line odds on a team struggling (even given their opponent tonight).

 

FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO PADRES +150

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