Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction
Will the Phillies pull off the upset versus the Marlins in Miami tonight at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Marlins are -153 money line favorites versus the Phillies, who have odds of +138 to pull off the upset in Miami. With Jeremy Hellickson set to face Edinson Volquez in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8.5 runs.
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From Rotoworld: Hellickson was shredded for seven runs in five innings in a loss to the Rockies on Wednesday. He can’t use Coors Field as an excuse either since this game was played in Philadelphia. He actually tossed four scoreless frames interrupted by a seven-run outburst in the third inning. He walked two batters in that inning and gave up six hits, including a three-run bomb by Carlos Gonzalez. Hellickson gave up a total of eight hits and four free passes while notching only two strikeouts in the contest. He had been having a strong season, entering the day with a 5-1 record and 3.44 ERA despite his 3.62 K/9 being the worst in the league by a wide margin. He falls to 5-2 with a 4.28 ERA after 10 starts.
Volquez surrendered three runs on seven hits over six innings in Wednesday’s loss to the A’s. Volquez pitched fine in this one, but a lights-out Sonny Gray prevented him from picking up a win. The veteran right-hander struck out two and walked two on the afternoon, with two of the three runs on his line coming home on a two-run home run by Khris Davis in the first inning. Volquez will bring a 4.82 ERA and 1.67 WHIP into a home showdown with the Phillies next time he toes the rubber.
Bet Tonight’s Phillies vs. Marlins Game
OUR PREDICTION: The Phillies are 8-2 in Hellickson’s last 10 starts, are 4-1 in his last five road outings, and have won six straight when he faces an opponent from the National League East. On the other side, the Marlins are 0-6 in Volquez’s last six starts, are 1-10 in their last 11 games following a win, and have dropped 11 of 14 games at home. This is an ugly matchup from a betting standpoint, so why not take a flier on the underdog?
MONDAY MLB PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +138