Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Will tonight’s NL East matchup between the Phillies and Mets go over the betting total at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -115 money line favorites to beat the Phillies, who have odds of +105 to pull off the upset in New York. With Vincent Velasquez set to face Robert Gsellman in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs.
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Velasquez gave up five runs on five hits, four walks and hit a batter over five innings in Wednesday’s loss to the Mets. He also struck out seven and now owns a 9.00 ERA in two starts, both losses. While he’s struck out 17 batters, he’s also walked seven in his nine innings of work in 2017.
Gsellman was tagged for eight runs on five hits and three walks while striking out five over 4 2/3 innings but was able to escape with a no-decision in Thursday’s extra-inning win over the Marlins. In his three outings this season, he’s 0-1 with a 9.28 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP over 10 2/3 innings.
Bet Tonight’s Phillies vs. Mets Game
OUR PICK: Given how badly both pitchers have struggled to date, the over looks like a good bet tonight. The over is 39-16-2 in the last 57 meetings between these two teams in New York and is 71-34-5 in the last 110 meetings overall. The over has also cashed in four of Gsellman’s last five games overall and is 6-1 in Velasquez’s last seven outings.
TUESDAY MLB FREE PICK: PHILLIES/METS OVER 7.5