Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction
Will tonight’s Pirates and Marlins game fall under the betting total in Miami at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Marlins are -110 money line favorites versus the Pirates, who have odds of +100 to pull off the upset. With Jameson Taillon set to face Adam Conley in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs.
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PIRATES KEY TRENDS: The Pirates have been a great play with Taillon on the hill, winning 13 of his last 19 outings and going 5-2 in his last seven starts when he pitches the first game of a new series. They’re also 4-1 in his last five road starts, are 6-2 in his last eight starts after scoring five or more runs in their previous game, and 9-3 in his last 12 outings after allowing five runs or more in their previous contest.
MARLINS KEY TRENDS: The Marlins are 7-2 in Conley’s last nine home starts, are 7-2 in his last nine outings versus National League Central opponents, and are 4-1 in his last five home starts when taking on a team with a losing record. They’re also 7-3 in his last 10 starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game, but are just 1-4 when Conley starts Game 1 of a new series.
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OUR PREDICTION: The under has cashed in four of the last five meetings in Miami and is 35-16-1 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams overall. The under is 5-2-1 in the last eight starts versus a team with a losing record and is 3-1-1 in their last five games coming off a loss. The under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 road games, are 4-1 in Taillon’s last five starts during Game 1 of a series and is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts coming off five days of rest.
FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: PIRATES/MARLINS UNDER 7.5
