Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Will the over cash again today when the Nationals host the Phillies in Game 1 of a double-header?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Nationals are -172 money line favorites versus the Phillies, who have odds of +158 to pull off the upset in Washington. With Jeremy Hellickson set to face Gio Gonzalez in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8.5 runs.
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PHILLIES KEY TRENDS: The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games but are 6-1 in Hellickson’s last seven starts overall. They’re also a perfect 5-0 in his last five outings versus National League East opponents and have won four of his last five outings versus a team with a winning record. That said, they’re just 2-5 in his last seven road starts.
NATIONALS KEY TRENDS: The Nationals have also been profitable when Gonzalez toes the rubber. They’re 5-1 in his last six starts, are 9-2 in his last 11 home starts, and are 5-2 in his last seven outings versus divisional opponents. The Nats have also won 17 of their last 24 games overall and are 48-19 in their last 67 games versus National League East opponents.
Bet Today’s Phillies vs. Nationals Game
OUR PREDICTION: The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Nationals’ last five games overall and is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games when facing a right-handed starter. The over is also 6-2-1 in the Nationals’ last nine home games, is 8-3 in their last 11 games coming off a win, and are 5-2-1 in their last eight divisional games as well.
SUNDAY MLB PREDICTION: PHILLIES/NATIONALS OVER 8.5