Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Will today’s Mets and Marlins game go over the total for bettors when the NL East rivals clash at 1:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -140 on the money line to beat the Marlins, who have odds of +120 to pull off the upset at home. With Matt Harvey set to face Dan Straily in the pitching matchup, the over/under sits at 8 runs.
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METS KEY TRENDS: The Mets are 2-5 in Harvey’s last seven road starts, have dropped seven of his last 10 outings versus National League East rivals and are just 1-5 in his last six starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. That said, the Mets are also 5-2 in their last seven games, are 5-2 in their last seven games against divisional opponents, and are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
MARLINS KEY TRENDS: The Marlins have won four of their last five games against teams with winning record and are 10-2 in their last 12 games when playing the fourth game of a series. They’re 11-5 in their last 16 games played on Sunday as well.
Bet Today’s Mets vs. Marlins Game
OUR PICK: The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and is 4-1 in Harvey’s last five starts versus the Marlins. Harvey has pitched well in his two starts this season but after exiting his last game due to a hamstring injury, perhaps he’s due for a clunker. Straily, meanwhile, has pitched awful once and solid once. The over is 6-1-1 in the Marlins’ last eight games overall and I like it to cash again today.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: METS/MARLINS OVER 8