Thursday MLB Free Pick
SEATTLE, WA (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a four-game series. The Red Sox won their last two against Toronto, Seattle has dropped 3 of 4.
Franklin Morales takes the mound for the Red Sox against Felix Hernandez for Seattle. The opening pitch starts at 7:05pmET from Safeco Field in Seattle.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Mariners as a -110 favorite over the Red Sox. The total is 7 in most books. The Red Sox come in with a 40-35 overall record and are 42-31 Over, while the Mariners are 32-45 overall and are 37-39 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Mainers opened as a -115 favorite and moved down to -110 at most books. The total started at 7 and remained there at most books.
View Latest 2012 World Series Odds
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 61% of public bettors favor the Red Sox. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the over. Per latest MLB trends, is 4-1 Over in Red Sox last 5 on grass, 12-3-1 Over last 16 games following a win, 18-6 Over is last 24 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and is 14-6 Over last 20 during game 1 of a series. Seattle is 5-0 Over in Hernandez’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series, 4-0 Over in Hernandez’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and is 7-2 Over Hernandez’s last 9 starts on grass. Boston still has the bats as they have gone OVER in four of their last five games. Hernandez is good but not as dominant as he’s been in the past. Last year, in August, Seattle beat Boston 5-4 with King Felix on the mound, easily going over the total of 6. This one should also go over the total of 7.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: RED SOX/MARINERS OVER 7
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