Wednesday MLB Free Pick
NEW YORK, NY (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a two-game series. The Mets lost to Milwaukee 8-0 at home on Tuesday night, while Cincinnati fell on the road to Atlanta 6-2. Mike Leake takes on the Mets’ Johan Santana. The opening pitch goes at 7:05pm from Citi Bank Field in Queens, N.Y.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Mets as a -135 favorite over the Reds. The total is 7.5 in most books. Cincinnati comes in with a 18-17 overall record and is 9-9 on the road, while the Mets are 20-16 overall and 11-7 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Mets opened as a -150 favorite and moved down to -135 at most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there in most books.
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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 77% of public bettors favor the Mets. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: According to the latest MLB trends, Mets are 13-6 in their last 19 Wednesday games, 5-0 in Santana’s last 5 starts vs. Reds, 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 6-2 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass. Reds are 23-48 in their last 71 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 9-21 in their last 30 games as an underdog, 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 1-6 in Leake’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Mets are led by 3B David Wright, riding a nine-game hitting streak and batting a major league-best .408. Following the two-game set against the Mets, the Reds will make a short trip to the Bronx for a three-game interleague set with the New York Yankees. The Reds’ Leake is struggling at 0-5 this year with a 7.11 ERA.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: NEW YORK METS -135
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