Monday MLB Free Pick
CHICAGO, IL (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a three-game series. The Royals are coming off beating Texas, 7-6 on Sunday, but lost the series 2-1. The White Sox won 2 of 3 from the Angels. Luis Mendoza takes the mound for the Royals while the White Sox send out Chris Sale. The opening pitch starts at 8:10pmET from U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the White Sox as a -220 favorite over the Royals. The total is 8.5 in most books. Kansas City comes in with a 45-62 overall record and is 49-55 Under, while the White Sox are 59-48 overall and are 49-54 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The White Sox opened as a -220 favorite and moved to -200 at most books. The total started at 8.5 and remained there at most books.
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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 87% of public bettors favor the White Sox. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the under. According to the latest MLB trends, 3-9 Under last 12 games following a win, 4-9 Under last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 8-17-2 Under last 27 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater, 0-5 Under in Mendoza’s last 5 starts as an underdog and is 1-6 Under in Mendoza’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. White Sox are 1-4 Under in Sale’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 1-4 Under in Sales last 5 starts vs. American League Central. The White Sox need another strong performance from Sale to keep up the pace in the AL Central. Sale owns a 12-3 record with a 2.61 ERA this year. Mendoza owns a 4.32 ERA but the Royals are 5-9 Under when he starts. Kansas City owns the fifth-highest batting average in baseball but ranks just 21st in runs. Sale won the last meeting on July 15, 2-1 against Mendoza, who also pitched very well.
MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: ROYALS/WHITE SOX UNDER 8.5
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