Saturday MLB Free Pick
CINCINNATI, OH (ATS Consultants) – This is the second game of a three-game Interleague series. Justin Verlander goes to the mound for Detroit against Bronson Arroyo of Cincinnati. The opening pitch starts at 4:10pmET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the Tigers as a -140 favorite over the Reds. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Tigers come in with a 26-31 overall record and are 26-30 Under, while the Reds are 31-25 overall and 26-28 Under.
Line Movement: The Tigers opened as a -145 favorite and moved down to -140 at most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there in most books.
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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 61% of public bettors favor the Dodgers. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the UNDER 7.5 Detroit/Cincinnati. According to the latest MLB trends, Tigers are 2-5 Unde last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 1-5 Under in Verlander’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Reds are 1-4 Under last 5 vs. a team with a losing record, 2-6-1 Under last 9 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and is 1-7-1 Under in Arroyo’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds take on Justin Verlander, who has a 2.67 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in 87.2 IP this year. When he pitches, Detroit is 3-9 Under. Bronson Arroyo has a solid 3.91 ERA and the Reds are 3-8 UNDER when he pitches. The last time Verlander pitched against a National League team, he hurled a complete game shutout, striking out 12. He’ll throw another strong one against the Reds on Saturday.
SATURDAY MLB FREE PICK: TIGERS/REDS UNDER 9
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