A’s vs. Yankees Prediction
Before heading to Canada for the weekend, the Oakland A’s will look to finish off a sweep of the New York Yankees tonight at 7:05PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Yankees are -140 money line favorites to beat the A’s, who have odds of +125 to pull off the upset tonight in the Bronx. With Rich Hill set to face Luis Severino in the pitching matchup, the total currently sits at 8.5 runs.
Bet Tonight’s A’s vs. Yankees Game
Hill has struggled some to start the season, posting a 1-2 record with a 4.15 ERA over 13 innings of work. His best outing came in Seattle when he allowed just one run on five hits over 6.0 innings of work, but two lackluster starts flank that performance, including a dud in Chicago where he lasted just 2 2/3 innings. Here’s the good news for Oakland: Hill’s K/9 is 13.15, which is excellent, and his BABIP is .485, indicating he’s suffered some batted-ball luck. He needs to cut down on the walks (3.46), but he’s pitched better than his ERA would indicate (as evidence of his 3.20 FIP and 3.12 xFIP).
MLB Quick Links: Free Matchup Reports | Injuries | Odds Comparison | Scoreboard | Betting Trends
The Yankees will counter with Severino, who is 0-2 on the year but has also pitched much better than his 5.91 ERA would indicate. His FIP is actually 3.24, which is great, while his xFIP is even better at 2.72. He too has suffered from plenty of batted-ball luck (.436 BABIP), but his strikeout numbers have to come way up 5.91 or else he’ll continue to be at the mercy of his defense.
TODAY’S PREDICTION: The under is a perfect 6-0 in the A’s last six games, is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games overall, and is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games following a win. The under is also 5-0-1 in the Yankees’ last six games overall, 4-0-1 in their last five games versus AL West, and 7-2 in their last nine home games versus a left-handed starter. With both of these pitchers suffering from some batted-ball luck, look for Hill and Severino to pitch well and limit the damage in what should be another low-scoring game between these two teams.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PREDICTION: A’S/YANKEES UNDER 8.5
Want More From TheSpread.com? Follow us on Twitter and Facebook or Subscribe to Our News Feeds!