Padres vs. Phillies Prediction
The Padres took the series opener versus the Phillies on Friday night but then dropped both games of their double header in Philly yesterday. What’s the smart play on Sunday when Seth Lugo opposes Zack Wheeler in the series finale at 1:35 p.m. ET?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
953 San Diego Padres (+130) at 954 Philadelphia Phillies (-150); o/u 9
1:35 p.m. ET, Sunday, July 15, 2023
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Padres vs. Phillies Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 63% of bets are on the Phillies’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
San Diego Padres DFS SPIN
Fernando Tatis Jr. is day-to-day after twisting his ankle during Saturday’s game. Tatis left after his fifth-inning flyout, but the injury apparently happened in the outfield earlier in the contest. If he can’t go Sunday, the Padres will likely use Brandon Dixon in the outfield.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
Nick Castellanos is not in the Phillies starting lineup for Sunday’s contest against the Padres. Castellanos is having a bounce-back season but has been mired in a 9-for-49 (.184) slump in July. Brandon Marsh will bat sixth and play right field in his absence.
Padres vs. Phillies MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing San Diego
Padres vs. Phillies MLB BETTING PREDICTION
This is a Phillies or no play for me. Zack Wheeler is 7-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across his 18 starts that span 104 1/3 innings of work this season and while Lugo has been better than expected for the Padres (3-4, 3.39 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), I just don’t trust San Diego’s bullpen. Over their last 39 games, the Padres own a 6.40 FIP, which is second-highest to only the Angels’ mark of 7.52 over that span. They’ve been dreadful and even if the Padres keep the game tight throughout, I don’t like their chances late.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -150