Expected pitching matchup will be Ranger Suarez v. Spencer Rider. Phillies coming into Atlanta after a wild card win to face the best record in baseball. Since these teams share a division the familiarity adds another layer to consider when analyzing bets. Check out our Phillies vs. Braves Game 1 prediction.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies (+173) v. Atlanta Braves (-210); o/u 8.5
5:00 PM, October 7, 2023
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Phillies vs. Braves Game 1 MLB Public Betting Information
At the time of writing The Spread’s MLB Public Betting page shows 80% of bets have been placed on Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS Spin
Bryce Harper had two walks, one strikeout, and two runs scored in the 7-1 closeout win against the Marlins. Even if Bryce does not hit well he can still be involved in the game. Philadelphia needs quiet contributions like that to beat the Braves.
Atlanta Braves DFS Spin
Braves manager Brian Snitker confirmed Friday that Spencer Strider would start Game 1 of the NLDS against the Phillies. Max Fried will follow in Game 2. Unannounced was the Game 3 starter, though it’s expected to be Bryce Elder. The Braves are fortunate the NLDS schedule has an extra off day built in, allowing them to bring back Strider and Fried on normal rest in Games 4 and 5.
Phillies vs. Braves Game 1 MLB Betting Trends
Totals have gone over in 48 of Braves’ 81 last games at home
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 37-44 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Phillies’ last 5 games
Phillies vs. Braves Game 1MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Both of these teams carry potent offenses. But as stated earlier, the division overlap intensifies come playoff time. Recognition of lineups and strategies should constrict how free these teams play, especially in game one. In nine meetings this year the total has gone over five times. With no overwhelming side I am still convinced the under is in play here.
Phillies vs. Braves Game 1 Betting Prediction: UNDER 8.5
