Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
Cristopher Sanchez will oppose Rich Hill in Sunday’s pitching matchup between the Phillies and Pirates at 1:35 p.m. ET. With the Pirates listed as home underdogs and the total sitting at 9.5 runs, what’s the smart bet today in Pittsburgh?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
951 Philadelphia Phillies (-145) at 952 Pittsburgh Pirates (+125); o/u 9.5
1:35 p.m. ET, Sunday, July 30, 2023
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Phillies vs. Pirates Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 65% of bets are on the Phillies’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
Aaron Nola struggled against Pittsburgh on Saturday, allowing five runs in 4 2/3 innings. Nola gave up nine hits and walked three while striking out six on the night. The veteran was getting swings and misses with a 33 percent whiff rate and 36 percent CSW, but the contact he did give up was loud with five hits coming 99 mph or harder. Nola has now allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last six starts and has a 4.43 ERA on the season. He also has the lowest strikeout rate since his rookie year in what has been a disappointing season for the veteran.
Pittsburgh Pirates DFS SPIN
Liover Peguero homered and drove in two runs in the Pirates’ 7-6 win over the Phillies on Saturday. The rookie took Aaron Nola deep in the third inning, 412 feet at 106 mph off of the bat. The homer was one of three hits for Peguero on the night, finishing 3-for-4 with two RBI and one run scored. The big fly was his second of the season, and the shortstop is now slashing .261/.292/.565 on the season. He had a good contact profile in the minors and is on the radar in deep fantasy leagues.
Phillies vs. Pirates MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Phillies vs. Pirates MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Sanchez has been excellent this season, posting a 2.98 ERA, 0.97 WHIPO and 36/6 strikeout-to-walk ratio across 42 1/3 innings that span eight starts. He’s coming off a season-high eight strikeouts over seven innings of two-run ball on Monday in a no-decision against the Orioles. As for Hill, he could be making his last start for the Pirates with the trade deadline coming on Tuesday. He’s got a 4.82 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the year and mostly has not been effective. Give me the Phillies.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -145