Pirates vs. Braves Prediction
Mitch Keller will oppose Bryce Elder in Friday night’s pitching matchup at Truist Park, where the Braves will host the Pirates at 7:20 p.m. ET. With the Braves listed as massive home favorites and the total sitting at 9.5 runs, what’s the best bet tonight in Atlanta?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
959 Pittsburgh Pirates (+180) at 960 Atlanta Braves (-218); 9.5
7:20 p.m. ET, Friday, September 8, 2023
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Pirates vs. Braves Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 91% of bets are on the Braves’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Pittsburgh Pirates DFS SPIN
Ke’Bryan Hayes homered, walked and scored twice Wednesday as the Pirates edged the Brewers 5-4. We miss the steals, but we love the power from Hayes, who now has eight homers in his last 26 games. That’s more homers than he had in 96 games in 2021 (six) or in 136 games last year (seven) or in his first 79 games this year (five). Health is still a question for him going forward, but there’s a lot to like about the progress he’s made recently.
Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN
Ronald Acuña Jr. hit a pair of homers as the Braves topped the Cardinals 8-5 on Thursday. Acuña’s first homer came on the first pitch of the game and was a wicked liner to center with one of the lowest launch angles (16 degrees) of any homer this year. That homer traveled 426 feet, and Acuña also hit one 406 feet in the sixth. In the fifth, he had a 399-foot flyout to the wall that Statcast says would have been a homer in 12 ballparks. Tommy Edman reeled that one in. Acuña has 34 homers to go along with his 63 steals this year.
Pirates vs. Braves MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pirates vs. Braves MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me the over. The current Braves’ roster owns a .362 batting average and a .421 wOBA against Keller, with an expected batting average of .300 and an expected slug of .522. The Pirates, over a smaller sample size, own similar numbers against Elder (.278 batting average, .303 expected batting average and .562 expected slug).
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: PIRATES/BRAVES OVER 9.5