Pirates vs. Braves Prediction
Will tonight’s Pirates and Braves matchup bet low-scoring at 7:35PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Braves are -135 money line favorites versus the Pirates, who have odds of +125 to pull off the upset in Atlanta. With Trevor Williams set to face Julio Teheran in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9.5 runs.
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Williams yielded three runs over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the Phillies on Friday. The Pirates gave Williams an early lead, but he coughed it up in his final frame before being pulled. He gave up four hits and walked a pair while failing to strike out any of the 23 batters he faced. The 25-year-old has allowed 10 runs in 13 2/3 innings in three starts since joining the Pirates’ rotation. (Rotoworld)
Teheran allowed nine runs, including three home runs, over three innings in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday. Teheran may have allowed his emotions to get the best of him, as he made it a point to plunk Jose Bautista in the game’s first inning as payback for Freddie Freeman’s fractured wrist suffered the night before. It’s hard to say, but after that HBP he allowed a single and two doubles before the inning ended, and things only got worse from there. Teheran even yielded a solo homer to opposing pitcher Marcus Stroman. He’s been prone to some ugly lines this year, many aided by multiple homers allowed, and it all adds up to a disappointing 5.47 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in nine starts.
Bet Tonight’s Pirates vs. Braves Game
OUR PREDICTION: The under is 9-4-2 in the Pirates’ last 15 games versus a right-handed starter, is 5-1 in their last six road games versus a right-handed starter, and is 6-2-1 in their last nine games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in Teheran’s last five starts versus National League Central opponents, and is 4-1 in his last five outings after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
WEDNESDAY MLB PREDICTION: PIRATES/BRAVES UNDER 9.5