Johan Oviedo will oppose Ranger Suarez in Wednesday evening’s pitching matchup from Citizens Bank Park. Is this a good enough pitching matchup to take the under? Check out odds, trends and our prediction for Pirates vs. Phillies.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
901 Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) at 902 Philadelphia Phillies (-130); o/u 8
6:40 p.m. ET, Wednesday, September 27, 2023
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Pirates vs. Phillies Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 79% of bets are on the Phillies’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Pittsburgh Pirates DFS SPIN
Henry Davis went 2-for-4 with a solo homer in a loss to the Phillies Tuesday night. Since returning from the injured list with a right-hand injury on September 15, the 24-year-old has only played the field twice. Tuesday was no different, but he connected with his season’s seventh homer in a tough loss to the Phillies. It seems like his catching days are over, as he hasn’t started behind the plate in the majors, and he will only be outfield eligible at the start of draft season.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
Bryson Stott went 1-for-4 with one strikeout and a stolen base Tuesday night against the Pirates. Stott must be a huge fan of the rule changes MLB implemented before the season. He stole his 31st base of the season Tuesday night, and he has easily blown past his previous career high of 12 swipes, which came last season. To go along with all those steals, the 25-year-old is also hitting .277/.332/.439, an outstanding follow-up to his rookie campaign.
Pirates vs. Phillies MLB Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The Pirates are 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The Phillies are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pirates vs. Phillies MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Take the under. Oviedo has an expected batting average against of .208 against the current Philadelphia roster. His .332 expected slug and his .318 xwOBA against the Phillies are healthy metrics as well. On the other side, Suarez owns an xwOBA of just .175 against the current Pittsburgh roster, as well as a .147 expected BA and an expected slug of just .186.
Pirates vs. Phillies MLB Prediction: UNDER 8
