Pirates vs. Reds Prediction
Will the over cash for bettors when the Pirates-Reds series concludes at 12:35PM ET today in Cincinnati?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Pirates are -115 money line favorites to beat the Reds, who have odds of +105 to pull off the upset at home today. With Ivan Nova set to face Tim Adleman in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8.5 runs.
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PIRATES KEY TRENDS: The Pirates have won five of Nova’s last seven starts but they’re 0-4 in his last four outings against divisional rivals. They’re also just 6-13 in their last 19 road games, are 4-10 in their last 14 road games when facing a right-handed starter, and are 2-7 in their last nine games against the rest of the National League Central.
REDS KEY TRENDS: The Reds have been unprofitable for bettors when Adleman starts. They’re 3-7 in his last 10 outings, are 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game, and have dropped four of his last five home games. They’re also just 4-9 in their last 13 games overall despite beating the Pirates on Wednesday night.
Bet Today’s Pirates vs. Reds Game
OUR PREDICTION: The over is now 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati and is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings overall. The over is also a perfect 4-0 in Adleman’s last four starts, is 4-0 in his last four outings versus divisional opponents, and has cashed in five of his last seven home starts. On the other side, the over is 5-2 in the Pirates’ last seven games overall.
THURSDAY MLB PREDICTION: PIRATES/REDS OVER 8.5