Rangers vs. Padres Prediction
Martin Perez will oppose Yu Darvish in Saturday night’s pitching matchup between the Rangers and Padres at 8:40 p.m. ET. With the Padres listed as moneyline favorites and the total sitting at 8.5 runs, what’s the smart bet tonight?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
929 Texas Rangers (+135) at 930 San Diego Padres (-155); o/u 8.5
8:40 p.m. ET, Saturday, July 29, 2023
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Rangers vs. Padres Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 61% of bets are on the Rangers’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Texas Rangers DFS SPIN
Dane Dunning allowed three runs over five innings on Friday in a loss against the Padres. Dunning surrendered one run in the first inning on a pair of base hits. He struggled to find the strike zone in the third, walking the bases loaded before a sacrifice fly brought the second run in for the Padres. Fernando Tatis Jr. would add a third run on a solo homer in the fifth. Dunning’s night would be over after five frames. The 28-year-old right-hander will take a 3.28 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and a 68/30 K/BB across 107 innings into a start against the White Sox in Texas on Thursday.
San Diego Padres DFS SPIN
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-5 with a home run and two RBI on Friday in a 7-1 win against the Rangers. Tatis Jr. took Dane Dunning deep for a solo homer in the fifth inning, breaking a 12-game home run drought for the slugger. He drove in another run with a base hit in the sixth. The 24-year-old star is hitting .279/.338/.504 with 18 homers, 52 RBI, and 16 steals across 386 plate appearances.
Rangers vs. Padres MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas’s last 7 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
San Diego is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Texas
Rangers vs. Padres MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Perez is 8-3 on the season, but his ERA is sitting at 4.91 and he has surrendered 18 home runs in 102 2/3 innings, including a first-inning grand slam to Max Muncy of the Dodgers in his most recent outing. Over his three starts in July, Perez is 1-0 despite a 9.49 ERA, allowing 13 runs on 17 hits and eight walks with eight strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings. Darvish, meanwhile, is 7-7 with a 4.80 ERA and owns a 4.64 ERA in July. In other words, I don’t think runs will be an issue tonight.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: RANGERS/PADRES OVER 9