Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Chris Sale gets the start for the Red Sox in Toronto. The Blue Jays put Chris Bassit on the mound to try and fight for the last wild card spot. With the Blue Jays listed as home favorites and the total sitting at 8.5, what’s the best bet tonight in Toronto?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
Boston Red Sox (+103) v. Toronto Blue Jays (-122); o/u 8.5
3:07 PM ET, Saturday, September 16th, 2023
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
MLB Public Betting Information
At the time of writing The Spread’s MLB Public Betting page shows 90% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Blue Jays.
Player Spotlight
Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in average, RBIs, and hits on the season. On the season against the Blue Jays Devers is hitting .389 with three home runs and twelve RBIs.
Chris Bassit leads the Blue Jays in wins with 14. On the season he has a 3.83 ERA and 161 strikeouts. In one start against this year he pitched seven innings, one earned run, and six strikeouts.
MLB Betting Trends
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone over in 29 of Blue Jays’ 72 last games at home
Red Sox are 36-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone over in 2 of Red Sox’ last 5 games
Totals have gone over in 6 of last 10 games
MLB BETTING PREDICTION:
In ten games this year these teams have averaged 11.1 runs a game. Given Chris Sale’s struggles this year, ERA is 4.88, I imagine the Blue Jays will be able to score at home. The Red Sox have the third best batting average in the league. The precedent and sample size of runs between these teams points towards the over being a value bet.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: RED SOX/BLUE JAYS OVER 8.5
