Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Following last night’s extra innings game, Nick Pivetta will start for Boston against the Blue Jays’ Hyun Jin Ryu. Division games always matter so it’s critical we analyze the matchup closely to find a value bet.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
915 Boston Red Sox (+117) v. 916 Toronto Blue Jays (-144); o/u 8.5
1:35 PM ET, Sunday, September 17th, 2023
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
MLB Public Betting Information
At the time of writing The Spread’s MLB Public Betting page shows 73% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Blue Jays.
Player Spotlight
Justin Turner has hit .283 with 23 home runs on the season. Form has been steady the last seven days as he has maintained a .320 average in that span. Against Toronto this season he has hit .425 with seven RBIs.
Whit Merrifield hit the walk off last night. One of the few bright spots for him in the last month. In the last thirty days he has hit .176. Much lower compared to his season average of .278.
MLB Betting Trends
Each team has only won one of their last five games straight up
Boston has averaged 3.9 runs a game over their last ten games
Toronto has average 3.3 runs a game over their last ten games
MLB BETTING PREDICTION:
The superior pitching is what gives Toronto the edge tonight. Jin Ryu has an ERA almost one and a half runs lower than his opponent tonight. An extra innings loss combined with shrinking playoff chances does not point towards an inspiring rebound. Expect the Blue Jays to continue home success and put the Red Sox down again.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: TORONTO BLUE JAYS -144
