Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction
Tarik Skubal will oppose Zzavion Curry in Thursday night’s pitching matchup at Progressive Field, where the Guardians will host the Tigers at 7:15 p.m. ET. With the Guardians listed as slight home dogs and the total sitting at 8.5 runs, what’s the smart bet today in Cleveland?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
959 Detroit Tigers (-120) at 960 Cleveland Guardians (+100); o/u 8.5
7:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, August 17, 2023
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Tigers vs. Guardians Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 64% of bets are on the Guardians’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Detroit Tigers DFS SPIN
Spencer Torkelson clobbered a pair of solo homers against the Twins on Wednesday. Torkelson has six homers in seven games, and his current .740 OPS is his highest mark since early April. Most metrics are really down on his defense at first base, which is discouraging, but the bat is coming along.
Cleveland Guardians DFS SPIN
Guardians activated INF Tyler Freeman from the 10-day injured list. Freeman was activated prior to last night’s game after missing a couple weeks due to a right shoulder strain.
Tigers vs. Guardians MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tigers vs. Guardians MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Skubal owns a 2-2 record and a 5.55 ERA over his last five starts, which spans 24 1/3 innings. That said, his ERA is misleading. With a 2.24 FIP and 3.05 xFIP, his advanced metrics indicate that he’s pitching significantly better than his ERA would indicate. Cleveland’s offense has also struggled, posting a 93 wRC+ over his last 30 days. Curry, meanwhile, is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA over his last 19 innings (five starts), although his 5.00 FIP indicates that he’s pitching worse than his ERA would suggest. He doesn’t strike out many batters (4.74) and hands out too many free passes (4.26 BB/9). Detroit’s offense isn’t exactly killing it (97 wRC+ over the past month), but the Tigers did light up the scoreboard on Thursday afternoon in Cleveland so I’m going to roll the dice on them tonight.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: DETROIT TIGERS -120