Diamondbacks vs. Padres Pick
Are the Arizona Diamondbacks and host San Diego Padres going to play a low-scoring game Monday night at 10:10PM EST?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Diamondbacks are listed as a -162 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Padres are a +141 underdog and the over-under is 8.5.
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Patrick Corbin (14-12, 4.06 ERA) will get the start for the Diamondbacks, while Luis Perdomo (7-10, 4.61) draws the assignment for the Padres. Corbin has a 1.42 WHIP with 168 strikeouts over 175 1/3 innings. He allowed one earned run on four hits with seven strikeouts and two walks over 6 2/3 innings in an 8-2 home win over the Rockies his last start. He has a 5.13 ERA in 14 road starts. Perdomo carries a 1.51 WHIP with 108 strikeouts in 146 1/3 innings. He gave up three earned runs on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in a 3-2 loss at the Diamondbacks his last outing. He has a 4.67 ERA in 14 home starts.
Arizona enters with an 87-63 overall record and is 39-36 on the road, while San Diego is 66-83 and 39-35 at home. The D-backs have won seven of the last 10 meetings and the total has gone over seven times.
On Sunday, the Diamondbacks had a four-game win streak snapped with a 7-2 loss at the Giants. Chris Iannetta was 3-for-4 at the dish. J.D. Martinez finished 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs. Taijuan Walker allowed four earned runs in five innings to take the loss. The Padres ended a five-game losing skid with a 4-3 win Sunday at Colorado. A squeeze bunt by Austin Hedges scored Matt Sczur in the top of the ninth inning to provide the difference. Yangervis Solarte was 2-for-5 with a home run and two runs scored to key the offense. Hector Sanchez was 1-for-4 with two RBIs. Allen Cordoba went 2-for-4. Kirby Yates picked up the win in relief.
Bet on Diamondbacks vs. Padres
Corbin was shelled two starts ago when he faced the Padres at home, so the revenge narrative is in play. He’s had a strong second half aside from that start and bounced back well in his last outing. He’ll be facing a weak offense and should navigate through it fairly easily. Perdomo is better than his numbers suggest and at the very least typically keeps the Padres in the game. We’re liking the under here in a game played at one of the most pitcher-friendly stadiums in baseball.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: DIAMONDBACKS/PADRES UNDER 8.5