Dodgers vs. Padres Pick
Are the heavily favored Los Angeles Dodgers going to win easily at the San Diego Padres Friday night? First pitch is at 10:10PM EST.
The Dodgers are a -270 favorite to win on the moneyline according to sports book Bovada.lv. The Padres are a +225 underdog, while the over-under is set at 7. Los Angeles is -155 on the -1.5 run line, while San Diego is +135 at +1.5.
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Clayton Kershaw (15-2, 2.04 ERA) returns from the DL to start for Los Angeles, while San Diego turns to Dinelson Lamet (7-5, 4.60). Kershaw has a sparkling 0.88 WHIP with 168 strikeouts in 141 1/3 innings. He last started on July 23, throwing two hitless innings at home versus the Braves before departing with a back injury. The Dodgers have won his last 15 starts. Yes, 15. Overall, LA is 19-2 in Kershaw’s 21 starts. Lamet has a 1.19 WHIP with 105 strikeouts in 86 innings. He gave up one earned run on four hits with five strikeouts and three walks over six innings in a 2-1 loss at Miami his last start. The Padres are 5-5 in his last 10 starts.
Los Angeles comes in at 91-41 and is 39-25 on the road, while San Diego is 59-74 and 35-31 at home. The Dodgers have won nine of the last 10 meetings, while the the over-under is 6-3-1.
The Dodgers have lost five in a row for the first time all season, the last being an 8-1 loss at Arizona to complete a three-game sweep. Kenta Maeda allowed seven earned runs in three innings to take the loss. Yasmani Grandal was 2-for-4 with a run, while Adrian Gonzalez had an RBI double. Justin Turner added a double. The Padres won two out of three at the Giants including Wednesday’s 5-0 series finale. Travis Wood threw 4 1/3 scoreless innings before Craig Stammen earned the win in relief. Wood also homered to help his own cause, while Jose Pirela added a solo home run. Wil Myers doubled and scored two runs. Jabari Blash was 2-for-2 with two walks, a run and an RBI.
Kershaw will be on a pitch count of around 75 pitches or five innings, whichever comes first. He seemed to be back to his old self in his last rehab start, plus he gets to face a very weak lineup in the Padres. The moneyline is a little too much to handle, but consider going with the runline. The Dodgers have seen Lamet before and know what to expect, plus Cody Bellinger should be in the lineup as he works his way back from injury.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: LOS ANGELES DODGERS RL -155