Nationals vs. Mets Pick
Are the Washington Nationals and host New York Mets going to play a pitching-dominated game Friday night at 7:10PM EST?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Mets are a -138 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Nationals are a +118 underdog and the over-under is set at 8.5.
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Pitching for Washington will be Edwin Jackson (5-6, 4.77 ERA), while the Mets counter with Robert Gsellman (7-7, 5.22). Jackson carries a 1.52 WHIP with 49 strikeouts in 65 1/3 innings. He was shelled for seven earned runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks over 2 1/3 innings in a 7-0 home loss to the Dodgers his last start. Jackson has a 4.09 ERA in 33 road innings. Gsellman holds a 1.53 WHIP with 74 strikeouts in 108 2/3 innings. He allowed one unearned run on three hits with three strikeouts and no walks in seven innings during a 5-1 win at the Braves his last start. Gsellman has a 4.43 ERA in 65 home innings.
Washington is 92-60 on the season and 47-28 on the road, while New York is 65-87 and 33-41 at home. The Nationals have won seven of the 10 meetings and the total has gone over seven times.
On Thursday night, Washington had its three-game win streak snapped with a 3-2 loss at the Braves. Ryan Zimmerman had a solo home run, while Matt Wieters was 1-for-3 with an RBI. Tanner Roark gave up three earned runs and struck out seven over seven innings to take the loss. New York was swept in a three-game series at the Marlins with a 9-2 loss Wednesday afternoon. Kevin Plawecki was 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored. Brandon Nimmo hit a solo home run. Phillip Evans finished 2-for-4. Rafael Montero allowed five runs in four innings to suffer the loss.
The wind will be blowing in from left field at approximately 15 miles an hour in what is already a pitcher’s park. Jackson has struggled mightily his last two starts, but is always capable of serviceable starts. Gsellman was excellent his last start and has pitched much better recently. We like the under in this game.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: NATIONALS/METS UNDER 8.5