Bet on Mets vs. Nationals
Are the host Washington Nationals going to cruise to a win Saturday at 4:05PM EST over the New York Mets?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Nationals are a -205 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mets are a +175 underdog, while the over-under is 8. Washington is -115 on the -1.5 run line and New York is -115 at +1.5.
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Robert Gsellman (5-5, 5.65 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Mets, while the Nationals counter with Gio Gonzalez (12-5, 2.39). Gsellman has a 1.55 WHIP and his road ERA is 7.85 in 28 2/3 innings. He was strong in his last start, however, as he gave up one earned run over 6 1/3 innings in a 3-2 home loss to the Diamondbacks. Gonzalez has simply been on fire, following up his 2.14 ERA in July with a 0.46 ERA in three August starts. He has a 1.12 WHIP and his home ERA is 1.79 over 75 1/3 innings. He has only allowed one earned run total in his last four starts, a total of 27 2/3 innings.
New York is 56-71 overall and 28-32 on the road, while Washington is 76-50 and 35-26 at home. The Mets won the series opener 4-2, while the Nationals have won seven of the last 11 meetings. The over-under is 7-3-1 in those 11 games.
On Friday night, the Mets received a strong performance from Jacob deGrom as he surrendered one earned run and struck out 10 in 7 2/3 innings to get the win. Juan Lagares was 2-for-5 with a double, a run and an RBI to pace the offense. Brandon Nimmo was 1-for-3 with two walks and two runs. Asdrubal Cabrera added two hits and an RBI. AJ Ramos picked up his 24th save. Adam Lind was 2-for-4 with a home run to lead Washington, while Wilmer Difo added two hits. AJ Cole gave up one earned run in six innings to take the hard-luck loss.
The Mets are a depleted bunch right now, with injuries and trades. The latest batters to go down to injury are Michael Conforto and Yoenis Cespedes, only their two best hitters. Coupled with that is the fact Gonzalez is pitching on an entirely different plane and the run line is definltely worth considering in this game. That’s our play.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: WASHINGTON NATIONALS RL -115