Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction
Will the Padres and Dodgers play over the betting total again when they clash at 10:10PM ET tonight?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Dodgers are -230 money line favorites to beat the Padres, who have odds of +190 to pull off the big upset tonight. With Clayton Richard set to face Kenta Maeda in the pitching matchup, the over/under now sits at 7.5, up from the original number of 7 runs.
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Richard allowed three runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work last Thursday against the Rockies. He owned a 7.36 ERA entering the game and finished Cactus League play with a rough 8.10 ERA in six starts this spring. He did put together a nice season with the Cubs a year ago but the 33-year-old could struggle for a Padres team that is expected to sink to the bottom of the National League West this season.
Over the course of 175 2/3 innings last season for the Dodgers, Maeda posted a respectable 3.48 ERA while striking out 179 batters. He carved out another role for himself in a Dodgers rotation that is deep behind the five starters.
Bet Tonight’s Padres vs. Dodgers Game
OUR PICK: The over is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in Richard’s last five starts against the Dodgers. The over is also 9-1 in Richard’s last 10 starts when he pitches Game 2 of a series and is 4-1-1 in the Padres’ last six games versus a team with a winning record. On the other side, the over is 5-0-1 in Maeda’s last six starts overall and is a perfect 7-0 in his last seven home outings.
TUESDAY MLB FREE PICK: PADRES/DODGERS OVER 7.5