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Wurth 400, 4/30/23 NASCAR Betting Odds, Prediction & Trends

2023 nascar larson 2023 nascar larson

Wurth 400 NASCAR Predictions

NASCAR carries on this weekend at the Monster Mile in Dover on Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET. Which drivers make the most sense to back this weekend, whether it’s to take the checkered flag or in head-to-head props?

Wurth 400 Race Details

What: Wurth 400

When: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Where: Dover International Speedway

Watch: FS1

Wurth 400 Betting Odds

Kyle Larson is the current favorite at +490, followed by Chase Elliott at +700 and William Byron at +750. Denny Hamlin is +800 to win the Wurth 400, followed by Kevin Harvick at +900 and Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell at +950, respectively. Meanwhile, Ross Chastain is +1300, followed by Kyle Busch at +1600 and Tyler Reddick at +1700.

Wurth 400 Betting Predictions

OPTION 1: Kyle Larson (+490)

I know he’s the favorite – he’s also led more than 130 laps in four of his last eight races at Dover. In those eight races, Larson has finished outside the top six just twice, which includes a win and three other podium finishes. The other trend to keep in mind is that when Larson won at Martinsville two weeks ago, he gave Hendrick Motorsports its 28th win at the short track. That’s the most wins by a team at a single track in Cup Series history. What’s the second most? Hendrick’s 22 wins at Dover.

OPTION 2: Josh Berry (+3500)

Berry has two top-10 finishes in the Cup Series and has been hot on the Xfinity tour. He’ll step in for the injured Alex Bowman today and came up through the short track ranks, so I like him at Dover today. Berry won last year’s Dover race while leading 55 laps and finished second while leading 48 laps in 2021. I think he’s ready to step up in class.

OPTION 3: Chase Elliott (+700)

I’m going back to the well once more after Elliott returned with 10th and 12th place finishes at Martinsville and Talladega, respectively, over the last two weeks since returning from a broken leg that sidelined him for six races. He currently sits 31st in points, which is a far cry from being able to make the 16-driver playoff field on points. The good news is that that at Dover, he’s the defending winner with nine top-5 finishes in 12 career starts.