NBA Finals Game 2 Prediction
(The Spread) – The Dallas Mavericks will look to even things up in the 2011 NBA Finals tonight when they take on the Miami Heat at 9:00PM ET.
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bodog currently list the Heat as 4.5-point favorites over the Mavericks for Game 2 tonight. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 186 points.
Line Movement: Thus far, the line hasn’t moved an inch. The Heat opened as 4.5-point favorites and that’s where the line currently sits. The over/under total has moved slightly at some books, going from 186 to 186.5, but that’s it. That said, both odds could move the closer we get to game time as the public hammers the favorite.
Public Betting Information: Of the nearly 12,000 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 64% of the betting public favors the Heat –4.5. That’s not surprising with the way Miami handled Dallas in the second half of Game 1. (Not to mention when you factor in Dirk Nowitzki’s injury.)
Injury Update: Dirk Nowitzki said his damaged left middle finger isn’t as sore as he anticipated and he’s hoping he won’t have to wear a splint for the rest of the series. The tendon in his top knuckle is detached and it’s an injury that usually takes at least six weeks to heal correctly. But both sides are downplaying the issue and there’s no doubt that Dirk will lace ‘em up tonight.
NBA Finals Game 2 Free Pick: The national media has seemingly written Dallas off after its Game 1 loss on Tuesday. But I still have faith that the Mavericks can steal a game in Miami before the series heads to Dallas on Sunday. We’re going to see the Mavs best effort tonight. They know they can’t fall behind two-games-to-nil and despite Dirk’s injury, I think their offense will perform better than it did on Tuesday. Even though they were defeated in Game 1, the Mavs are still 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games in Miami and according to latest NBA trends, the road team is 10-2-1 against the number in the last 13 meetings between these two teams. Take Dallas, although hold off closer to game time if you can. I expect that line to move up to Miami –5 or even –5.5 closer to tip off.
2011 NBA FINALS GAME 2 FREE PICK: DALLAS MAVERICKS +4.5
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