NBA Finals Game 3 Prediction
(The Spread) – The 2011 NBA Finals shift to Dallas on Sunday where the Mavericks will host the Heat in Game 3 at 8:00PM ET tonight.
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bodog currently list the Mavericks as 2.5-point favorites over the Heat for Sunday’s Game 3. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 188.5 points.
Line Movement: When the opening odds were released, the Mavericks were actually 3-point favorites. But the line has dropped to 2.5 at most books, although in some places Dallas has gone back up to –3. The total hasn’t changed much, although it did open at 187.5 at some books.
Public Betting Information: Of the 15,000-plus wagers placed on tonight’s game, 52% of the NBA betting public favors the Mavericks –2.5. It’s not surprising that the public is on the Mavericks with the way Miami collapsed on Thursday.
Game 2 Rewind: The Heat seemingly had this game in the bag until the closing minutes. That’s when the Mavericks turned up their effort and essentially stole the game in Miami. Dirk Nowitzki, who was incredibly down the stretch, finished with a team-high 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Shawn Marion added 20 points and eight boards. For Miami, Dwyane Wade’s 36-point effort was wasted in the collapse.
NBA Finals Game 3 Prediction: Seeing as how Miami collapsed in Game 2 and with the series shifting to Dallas, it’s easy to see why the majority of the public is on the Mavs tonight. But we should see the Heat’s best effort in this one, as they look to quickly erase the memory of their collapse in Game 2. According to latest NBA trends, the Heat are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Take the Heat as they rebound from Thursday night’s defeat.
2011 NBA FINALS GAME 3 FREE PICK: MIAMI HEAT +2.5
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