Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Odds
The second-seeded Boston Celtics travel back to Miami to take on the #8-seed Heat on TNT Saturday night at 8:30 PM ET in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
Can the Heat cover the 2.5-point spread as home underdogs?
Miami leads the series 3-2.
The Boston Celtics went 57-25 in the regular season. They are 10-8 in the playoffs this season. The Celtics are 56-44 ATS on the year.
The Miami Heat went 44-38 in the regular season. They’re 12-6 in the play-in and playoffs this season. The Heat are 42-55-3 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
501 Boston Celtics (-2.5) at 502 Miami Heat (+2.5); O/U 210
8:30 PM ET, Saturday, May 27, 2023
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Celtics vs. Heat Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 53% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat +2.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Boston Celtics DFS Spin
Boston point guard Malcolm Brogdon is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game with a right forearm strain. Brogdon suffered a partially torn tendon in his right forearm in Game 1 of this series and has been trying to play through it ever since. Brogdon is averaging 12.6 points per game in these playoffs.
Boston small forward Jayson Tatum helped the Celtics stave off elimination in Game 4 of this series when he poured in 33 points on 14 of 22 shooting in Miami. He also played well in the 4th quarter of Game 6 of Boston’s second-round series against Philadelphia when he drained three huge three-pointers in the final period of that contest. Jayson Tatum could rise to the occasion in a big way on Saturday night.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami guards Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo will both miss Saturday’s game as they are dealing with a broken hand and a severe knee injury respectively. The main injury status of note for Miami is that of point guard Gabe Vincent. Vincent missed Game 5 with a sprained ankle, and he’s officially listed as questionable for Saturday’s tilt with Boston. Vincent is averaging 13.1 points, 4.1 assists, and 2.4 made three-pointers per game for the Heat in these playoffs.
Celtics vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends
Boston is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Boston is 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 road games against a team with a home winning percentage over .600.
Boston is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Heat in Miami.
Miami is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an outright loss of more than 10 points.
Celtics vs. Heat NBA Prediction
The Celtics were in total control in Game 5 of this series and won it handily by double digits. In that contest, it seemed that the momentum was shifting toward Boston. Now Miami, who thought they might win this series in 4 games, is staring down the barrel of a potential Game 7 in Boston if they lose on Saturday night. The pressure will be squarely on the Heat on Saturday.
I like Boston to win for a few reasons. First, the Celtics are 37-29 ATS after an outright win this season. Second, Boston is 36-28 ATS playing on 1 day of rest this season, while Miami is only 28-32-2 in that scenario. Finally, the Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Celtics believe they can win this game, and I agree with them. I think Boston wins this game and sends it back to Beantown for Game 7 on Monday night.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: BOSTON CELTICS -2.5
