Clippers vs. Nuggets Prediction
Did oddsmakers set the betting total too high in tonight’s Clippers and Nuggets matchup at 10:30 p.m. ET?
CURRENT ODDS
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Nuggets are 4.5-point home favorites to beat the Clippers tonight. As for the total, it sits at 230 points.
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LINE MOVEMENT
The Nuggets opened as 3.5-point favorites before the line climbed a full point up to 4.5 The total has also seen significant line movement, hitting the board at 233.5 but falling all the way down to 230 at the majority of online books.
PUBLIC BETTING
As of this writing, 75% of the betting tickets are on the Nuggets to cover the point spread, while 51% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the over.
KEY INJURY TO WATCH
Danilo Gallinari is questionable tonight for the Clippers due to a hand injury while Paul Millsap is questionable for the Nuggets because of a wrist injury. Avery Bradley (groin) and Patrick Beverley (knee, out for the year) won’t play for L.A.
BETTING STRATEGY
Oddsmakers set to the total too high and they’ve been pounded by sharp bettors. I’m hopping on board the under as well, as it has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams in Denver and in 35 of the last 51 meetings overall. The under is also 8-3 in the Clippers’ last 11 games and is 21-7 in Denver’s last 28 contests versus an opponent with a winning record.
OUR PREDICTION: CLIPPERS/NUGGETS UNDER 230