Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Odds
The eighth-seeded Atlanta Hawks head to Miami to face the 7th-seeded Heat on Tuesday night at 7:30 PM ET on TNT in the first round of the NBA Play-In Tournament.
Can the Heat cover the 5-point spread as home favorites?
The Atlanta Hawks are 41-41 on the season. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Hawks are 36-45-1 ATS on the year.
The Miami Heat are 44-38 on the season. They’re 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Heat are 30-49-3 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
561 Atlanta Hawks (+5) at 562 Miami Heat (-5); O/U 226.5
7:30 PM ET, Tuesday, April 11, 2023
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Hawks vs. Heat Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 51% of public bettors are currently backing the Hawks +5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Atlanta Hawks DFS Spin
Atlanta shooting guard Dejounte Murray has been everything the Hawks could have wanted since they acquired him from the Spurs. Murray is putting up 20.5 points, 5.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.8 made three-pointers per game for Atlanta this season. He would have some value in DFS if Miami dedicates extra attention to stopping Atlanta’s Trae Young on Tuesday.
Hawks power forward John Collins could be a nice under-the-radar DFS play on Tuesday. The Wake Forest alum is averaging 13.1 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1 block, and 1 made three-pointer per game this season. He could punish the Heat if they elect to use some smaller lineups in the play-in game on Tuesday.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami Heat guard Kyle Lowry is questionable for Tuesday’s tilt with the Hawks. He’s dealing with left knee soreness. Lowry is averaging 11.2 points and 5.1 assists per game for Miami this season.
Miami point guard Tyler Herro could be in line for a big scoring night on Tuesday. The former lottery pick out of Kentucky is putting up 20.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, and 3 made three-pointers per game for the Heat on the campaign. Atlanta may focus on stopping Miami’s Jimmy Butler, and Herro could be the prime beneficiary of that in this game.
Hawks vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends
Atlanta is 11-27 ATS in their last 38 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against the Heat in Miami.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day of rest.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Hawks vs. Heat NBA Prediction
Miami’s Jimmy Butler is one of the premier playoff performers in the NBA. In 17 playoff games last season, Butler averaged 27.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game while shooting 50.6% from the field. Year after year, Jimmy Butler seems to raise his level of play when it matters most.
Conversely, Atlanta’s best player, Trae Young, only put up 15.4 points, 5 rebounds, and 6 assists per game while shooting an abysmal 31.9% from the field in 5 playoff games for the Hawks last year. Because of Miami’s coaching advantage, I think Trae Young will be struggling to distribute the ball and get shots off all game. Further, I don’t believe Atlanta has the supporting cast to overcome a mediocre outing from their star. I like the Heat at home in this one.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT -5