Heat vs. Knicks Prediction & Odds
The eighth-seeded Miami Heat travel to New York to take on the #5-seed Knicks on ABC Sunday afternoon at 1:00 PM ET in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Knicks cover the 4.5-point spread as home favorites?
The series is tied 0-0.
The Miami Heat went 44-38 in the regular season. They are 4-2 in the playoffs and play-in this season. The Heat are 35-51-3 ATS on the year.
The New York Knicks went 47-35 in the regular season. They’re 4-1 in the playoffs this season. The Knicks are 48-35-4 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
501 Miami Heat (+4.5) at 502 New York Knicks (-4.5); O/U 207.5
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, April 30, 2023
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Heat vs. Knicks Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 52% of public bettors are currently backing the Knicks -4.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami Heat guards Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo will miss Sunday’s Game 1 against New York. Herro has a broken right hand, and Oladipo tore the patellar tendon in his left knee. Heat center Bam Adebayo is dealing with a left hamstring strain, but he’s listed as probable for Game 1 on Sunday. Adebayo is averaging 17.4 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 5 assists per game in the playoffs thus far, making him an attractive DFS option this weekend.
New York Knicks DFS Spin
Knicks power forward Julius Randle is questionable for Sunday’s game with an ankle injury he re-aggravated in New York’s Game 5 win over Cleveland on Wednesday. Randle is averaging 14.4 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3 assists per game in the postseason thus far. His status is worth monitoring all the way up to tipoff.
Knicks sixth man Immanuel Quickley could be in for a big scoring day on Sunday. He had his highest scoring output of the playoffs in New York’s Game 5 win over Cleveland with 19 points and has topped the 20-point mark twice already against the Heat this year. If Miami engineers their game plan around stopping Jalen Brunson, Immanuel Quickley could be the main beneficiary on Sunday.
Heat vs. Knicks NBA Betting Trends
Miami is 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following an outright win.
Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
New York is 28-11-2 ATS in their last 41 games following an outright win.
New York is 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 games following an outright win of more than 10 points.
Heat vs. Knicks NBA Prediction
Miami may have shocked the world in knocking off the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round, but a few trends are working against them. The Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following an ATS win. Miami has also struggled against the Knicks as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against New York.
The Knicks have been great at home of late. New York is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. What’s more, the Knicks have also played well on extended rest. To wit, New York is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days’ rest. The Knicks might be the better team in this series, and Madison Square Garden should be rocking on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with New York at home.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: NEW YORK KNICKS -4.5
