Heat vs. Knicks Prediction & Odds
The eighth-seeded Miami Heat head to New York to take on the #5-seed Knicks on TNT Wednesday night at 7:30 PM ET in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Knicks cover the 3.5-point spread as home favorites?
Miami leads the series 3-1.
The Miami Heat went 44-38 in the regular season. They are 8-3 in the playoffs and play-in this season. The Heat are 39-51-3 ATS on the year.
The New York Knicks went 47-35 in the regular season. They’re 5-4 in the playoffs this season. The Knicks are 48-39-4 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
549 Miami Heat (+3.5) at 550 New York Knicks (-3.5); O/U 209.5
7:30 PM ET, Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Heat vs. Knicks Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 65% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat +3.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami guards Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo will both miss Wednesday night’s road tilt with New York. Herro has a broken hand and Oladipo suffered a season-ending knee injury. Two major players with questionable designations for the Heat are Jimmy Butler and Caleb Martin. Butler is dealing with a right ankle sprain and Martin has a back contusion. Butler is averaging 33.5 points per game in the playoffs, and Martin is pouring in 11.1 points per game this postseason. Miami forward Haywood Highsmith is probable for Wednesday’s game with left knee tendinitis. Highsmith is averaging 3.1 points per game in 8 playoff contests this year.
New York Knicks DFS Spin
New York shooting guard Immanuel Quickley is doubtful for Wednesday’s contest with an ankle injury. Quickley averaged 14.9 points per game in the regular season but is only scoring 9 points per game in the playoffs.
Knicks shooting guard RJ Barrett could have some DFS value on Wednesday. In 4 games this series, Barrett is averaging 22 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 2.8 made three-pointers per game. If Julius Randle continues to underperform, RJ Barrett will likely be the main beneficiary for DFS purposes in Game 5 of this series.
Heat vs. Knicks NBA Betting Trends
Miami is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 day of rest.
Miami is 40-16-1 ATS in their last 57 second-round playoff games.
New York is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 second-round playoff games.
New York is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest.
Heat vs. Knicks NBA Prediction
Put simply, the Heat are better than the Knicks. The only game that Miami lost was Game 2 and they didn’t have their star player Jimmy Butler for that contest. Miami has hit another gear in these playoffs, and New York seems like they would be hard-pressed to slow them down.
A few numbers bolster Miami’s case for this game. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Finally, Miami seems to have New York’s number. The Heat are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against the Knicks in New York and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against New York overall. I think Miami either closes out New York or comes very close on Wednesday.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +3.5
