Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction & Odds
The eighth-seeded Miami Heat remain in Denver to face the top-seeded Nuggets on ABC Sunday night at 8:00 PM ET in Game 2 of the 2023 NBA Finals.
Can the Heat cover the 8.5-point spread as road underdogs?
Denver leads the series 1-0.
The Miami Heat went 44-38 in the regular season. They are 13-8 in the play-in and playoffs this year. The Heat are 45-56-3 ATS on the season.
The Denver Nuggets went 53-29 in the regular season. They’re 13-3 in the playoffs this year. The Nuggets are 54-43-1 ATS on the season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
515 Miami Heat (+8.5) at 516 Denver Nuggets (-8.5); O/U 216
8:00 PM ET, Sunday, June 4, 2023
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Heat vs. Nuggets Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 52% of public bettors are currently backing the Nuggets -8.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami guard Tyler Herro won’t play in Game 2 of the NBA Finals as he works his way back from a broken right hand. Herro had been targeting Game 3 for his return and seems to be on track for that. He averaged 20.1 points per game for the Heat in the regular season. Miami forwards Cody Zeller and Caleb Martin are both questionable for Sunday’s tilt with Denver. Zeller is dealing with a right sprained right foot, and Martin has an illness. It’s worth noting that Martin did not practice with the team on Saturday. His status looms large over this game as he’s averaging 13.5 points and 5.6 rebounds per game for Miami in these playoffs.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Nuggets power forward Aaron Gordon set the tone early in Denver’s 104-93 Game 1 win as he made multiple first-quarter baskets to propel his team to an early lead. For the game, Gordon racked up 16 points and 6 rebounds while shooting an excellent 7 for 10 from the field. He might be worth a look in DFS on Sunday.
Denver small forward Bruce Brown has been a super-sub for the Nuggets this postseason. He recorded 10 points in Game 1 of this series while sinking 2 out of 3 shots from long range. For the playoffs, Brown is averaging 12.1 points per game on an exemplary 53.3% shooting from the field, making him worth consideration in most DFS formats.
Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Finals games.
Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss.
Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Prediction
Miami has played well against elite teams as they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against a team with a winning percentage over .600. The Heat have also been good at bouncing back after a defeat as they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an outright loss. And finally, Miami has frequently made marked defensive adjustments after giving up triple-digits as they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. I like the Heat to make this a game in Denver on Sunday night.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +8.5