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Heat vs. Pistons Prediction: Back Detroit as a Home Dog

Pistons vs. Knicks Game 5 Pistons vs. Knicks Game 5

The Miami Heat are aiming for a fifth straight victory when they visit the Detroit Pistons on Monday night. Is Miami the best bet on the board as a 4.5-point road favorite in this Heat vs. Pistons matchup? Or will Detroit cover as a home dog?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Miami Heat (-4.5) at Detroit Pistons (+4.5); o/u 219

7:00 p.m. ET, Monday, December 16, 2024

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Heat vs. Pistons Public Betting: Bettors Backing Miami

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Adebayo stuffs stat sheet vs. Toronto

Bam Adebayo stuffed the stat sheet on Thursday and finished with 21 points (8-of-17 FGs), 16 rebounds, six assists, one block and one triple in a 114-104 win over Toronto. It has been a difficult season for Adebayo and the fantasy managers that have him rostered, but he has started to figure things out recently. Prior to this game, he had made at least 50% of his shots in three straight games and still shot fairly well in this one. Adebayo has had one of the worst shooting seasons of his career, but his value will rise if he continues to shoot like he has recently. They’ll have a few days off before he’ll look to keep this up in Detroit on Monday.

Cunningham posts solid line vs. Boston

Cade Cunningham posted a solid line on Thursday with 18 points (9-of-22 FGs), eight rebounds, eight assists and one block against Boston. When these two teams faced off last week, Cunningham had a spectacular performance and fell one rebound shy of a triple-double. This time around, he still approached triple-double territory, but he wasn’t able to contribute the same numbers. Prior to this game, Cunningham had scored at least 20 points in seven straight games and had double-doubles in six of those. They’ll have a few days off before Miami comes to town on Monday, and Cade has scored at least 20 points in their other two matchups this season. He’ll continue to be the only reliable fantasy option on the team moving forward.

Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 7 games

Heat vs. Pistons NBA Prediction:

Take Detroit. While the Heat have won eight of the past 10 meetings with the Pistons, Detroit is 7-2-1 against the number in those 10 contests. These two teams met on November 12 of this season and the Pistons emerged with a 123-121 overtime victory as a 1.5-point home dog. It was the third consecutive cover for Detroit in this series and its fifth in the past six meetings with Miami.

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Prediction: Detroit Pistons +4.5

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