Kings vs. Warriors Prediction & Odds
The third-seeded Sacramento Kings travel to San Francisco to take on the #6-seed Golden State Warriors on ESPN Friday night at 8:00 PM ET in Game 6 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Kings cover the 7.5-point spread as road underdogs?
Golden State leads the series 3-2.
The Sacramento Kings went 48-34 in the regular season. They are 2-3 in the playoffs this season. The Kings are 48-38-1 ATS on the year.
The Golden State Warriors went 44-38 in the regular season. They’re 3-2 in the playoffs this season. The Warriors are 41-45-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
551 Sacramento Kings (+7.5) at 552 Golden State Warriors (-7.5); O/U 234.5
8:00 PM ET, Friday, April 28, 2023
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Kings vs. Warriors Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 68% of public bettors are currently backing the Kings +7.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Sacramento Kings DFS Spin
Kings star point guard De’Aaron Fox broke the tip of his left index finger during Game 4 against the Warriors. He was initially listed as doubtful for Game 5 but ended up playing and put up 24 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds in the Kings’ 123-116 home loss on Wednesday. It’s worth noting that Fox only shot 9 of 25 from the field and 3 of 10 from deep in that contest, so he might not be a good DFS play on Friday.
Fox’s former college teammate Malik Monk has been lighting it up off the bench for Sacramento in these playoffs. Monk is pouring in 18.2 points and 6.2 made free throws per game in 5 postseason games thus far. He might have some value in DFS on Friday.
Golden State Warriors DFS Spin
For a cost-effective forward, consider Golden State’s Kevon Looney. Looney isn’t scoring much in this series (6 points per game) but he’s contributing in other ways. The 6’9” UCLA alum is averaging 14.4 rebounds, 5 assists, and 0.8 blocks per game for Golden State in the postseason, making him a nice under-the-radar play in Game 6.
Golden State’s Klay Thompson is still a steady shooter at age 33. The former Washington State standout is putting up 21.2 points, 4 rebounds, and 4.4 made three-pointers per game in 5 playoff contests this year. He’s made at least 3 three-pointers in every game of this series so far and should hit at least that many against Sacramento on Friday.
Kings vs. Warriors NBA Betting Trends
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
Sacramento is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an outright loss.
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 first-round playoff games.
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
Kings vs. Warriors NBA Prediction
The Kings nearly beat the Golden State Warriors on the road on Sunday, and they’ll get another chance to knock off the Dubs in San Francisco on Friday. Sacramento has been stellar against the number on the road this season. The Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning home record and are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 road games.
What’s more, the Kings seem to have the Warriors’ number when it comes to the spread. Sacramento is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against Golden State and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against Golden State in San Francisco. I like the Kings’ chances to keep this game close and cover the number on the road on Friday.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: SACRAMENTO KINGS +7.5
