Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction & Odds
The eleventh-seeded Dallas Mavericks head to Miami to face the 7th-seeded Heat on Saturday night at 7:30 PM ET on NBA TV. Can the Heat cover the 1-point spread as home favorites?
The Dallas Mavericks are 37-40 on the season. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Mavericks are 29-45-3 ATS on the year.
The Miami Heat are 40-37 on the season. They’re 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Heat are 27-47-3 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
501 Dallas Mavericks (+1) at 502 Miami Heat (-1); O/U 224.5
7:30 PM ET, Saturday, April 1, 2023
Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL
Mavericks vs. Heat Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 75% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat -1 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Dallas Mavericks DFS Spin
Mavericks point guard Kyrie Irving has been lighting it up over the past month. In his last 10 games, Irving is pouring in 27.1 points per game while posting excellent shooting splits of 50/40/92 on field goals, three-pointers, and free throws. In that same span, Kyrie Irving is also putting up 5.2 rebounds, 5.2 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. He might be a nice DFS option on Saturday night.
If you need cost-effective shooting, Mavs guard Tim Hardaway Jr. should be able to help. Hardaway is putting up 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.7 assists, and 2.9 made three-pointers per game for Dallas this season. Hardaway is shooting a solid 37.9% from deep this year on 7.8 attempts per game and should be a lock to hit multiple three-pointers on Saturday night.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Miami center Bam Adebayo is questionable for Saturday’s clash with Dallas, as he’s dealing with a hip contusion. The Kentucky alumnus is averaging 20.7 points and 9.3 rebounds per game for the Heat this season.
Heat guard Kyle Lowry is also questionable for Saturday’s game against the Mavericks. Lowry is dealing with left knee soreness. Lowry is fifth on the team in scoring with 11.6 points per game and tied for the team lead in assists with 5.1 dimes per game.
Mavericks vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends
Dallas is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage over .600.
Dallas is 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
The under is 5-0 in Dallas’s last 5 road games.
Mavericks vs. Heat NBA Prediction
The Dallas Mavericks are a team in freefall. They’ve lost 7 of their last 10 games and 5 of their last 6. The Mavericks’ only win during that span came against a tanking Indiana Pacers team. Since the Kyrie Irving trade, the Mavericks have had great trouble stopping their opponents. For the season, Dallas is 23rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and they’re allowing teams to shoot 48.5% from the field, a figure that ranks 25th in the league. It’s worth monitoring the injury status of Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowry, but I think Miami has more depth and a significant coaching advantage in this game, which is why I’m picking the Heat at home on Saturday.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT -1
