Mavericks vs Warriors Free Pick
OAKLAND, CA (ATS Consultants) – The Warriors lost two straight, while Dallas is coming off a 110-100 win over Sacramento on Tuesday night. Dallas travels to Golden State for a 10:35PM ET tip off.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Mavs a 5.5-point favorite over the Warriors, while the over/under total for the game is currently sitting at 196.5 points. Dallas enters the game with a 32-26 overall record, is 11-16 on the road and 28-30 UNDER, while Golden State is 22-35 overall, 12-16 at home and 27-30 UNDER.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Mavs opened as a 5 point favorite and moved to 5.5 in most books. The total has jumped from 195 to 196.5.
View Latest 2012 NBA Finals Odds
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 78% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Mavericks. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take the OVER. According to the latest NBA trends, Golden State is 6-2 Over in the last 8 meetings at home in series, 5-0 Over last 5 games following an ATS loss and 8-3 Over last 11 home games. Dallas is 16-4-1 Over last 21 Thursday games , 8-2 Over last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game , 6-2 Over last 8 games playing on 1 days rest, 23-9-1 Over last 33 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 12-5 Over last 17 overall and 19-8 Over last 27 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Dallas is tied with Houston and Denver for sixth in the Western Conference. A loss here could be crippling. But this is not a good road team. They lost at Memphis last Saturday and allowed 106 points to Miami on March 29. Golden State allows 100.9ppg and scores 98.2ppg. They don’t defend well, as they allowed 118 points to Portland on Wednesday night and 123 at Denver on Monday. In their last meeting on March 10, Golden State put up 111 points on Dallas in a 24-point win. That may not happen tonight but expect both to go over 100 points in a high-scoring affair.
THURSDAY NBA FREE PICK: MAVERICKS/WARRIORS OVER 196.5
ATSSportsline.com has been providing winning sports picks since 1992. Want more from ATS Consultants? Click Free Picks to get daily winners delivered directly to your inbox with no obligation!
