Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction & Odds
The top-seeded Denver Nuggets remain in Los Angeles to take on the #7-seed Lakers on ESPN Monday night at 8:30 PM ET in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals in the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
Can the Nuggets cover the 3-point spread as road underdogs?
Denver leads the series 3-0.
The Denver Nuggets went 53-29 in the regular season. They are 11-3 in the playoffs this season. The Nuggets are 52-43-1 ATS on the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers went 43-39 in the regular season. They’re 9-7 in the playoffs and play-in this season. The Lakers are 50-47-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
543 Denver Nuggets (+3) at 544 Los Angeles Lakers (-3); O/U 224.5
8:30 PM ET, Monday, May 22, 2023
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Nuggets vs. Lakers Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 59% of public bettors are currently backing the Nuggets +3 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Nuggets small forward Michael Porter Jr. had a well-rounded outing in Game 3 of this series on Saturday night. Porter scored 14 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out 6 assists. He shot 40% from three-point range in that game and is making 47.8% of his treys in this series. He’d be worth a look in DFS on Monday.
Denver small forward Bruce Brown has been a super sub for the Nuggets in this series. In 3 games coming off the bench Brown is averaging 14.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.3 made three-pointers per game. He might be a more cost-effective DFS option at the small forward spot in Game 4.
Los Angeles Lakers DFS Spin
Lakers shooting guard Austin Reaves has continued his breakout postseason run into the Western Conference Finals. The Oklahoma alum is averaging 22.7 points, 6 assists, 4 rebounds, and 4.3 made three-pointers per game in this series. He definitely has some DFS value on Monday.
Lakers point guard Dennis Schröder might be a nice sleeper option in DFS in Game 4 of this series. In his two previous Game 4’s of these playoffs, Schröder averaged 11 points on 8 of 14 field goal attempts. In those two games he also averaged 1.5 steals per game. Role players typically play better at home and that should apply to Schröder on Monday.
Nuggets vs. Lakers NBA Betting Trends
Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games.
Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the Lakers in Los Angeles.
Los Angeles is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games.
Los Angeles is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss.
Nuggets vs. Lakers NBA Prediction
The Lakers may be playing this game purely for pride as they are down 3-0 in this series and a team has never come back from such a deficit in the NBA playoffs. But a few stats tilt the board in L.A.’s favor. The Lakers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit outright loss and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Despite the age of their star players, the Lakers have been excellent on tight turnarounds as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day of rest. This series may end up being a gentleman’s sweep, but I like the Lakers to keep their slim playoff hopes alive at home on Monday night.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: LOS ANGELES LAKERS -3
