Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction: Can Denver Cover Short Spread?

Celtics vs. Nuggets Celtics vs. Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets head to Dallas to take on the Mavericks on Sunday afternoon. Both teams enter this matchup on two game win streaks. Denver heads on the road following a 3 game home stand while Dallas is set to play their 3rd straight at home. Denver is currently a 4 point road favorite with this Nuggets vs. Mavericks matchup set to tip off at 3:00 p.m. ET.   

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Denver Nuggets (-4) at Dallas Mavericks (+4) o/u 228.5

3:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 12, 2025

American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

TV: ALT

Public Betting: Public Bettors Backing Nuggets

As of this writing, our NBA Public Betting page shows that 64% of bets are on Denver. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets last played on Friday night and beat the Brooklyn Nets 124-105. Nikola Jokic finished with 35 points, 15 assists, and 12 rebounds. Russell Westbrook finished with a triple-double himself, scoring 25 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists. Denver shot 51.7% from the field in this one. Michael Porter had an off night from behind the arc, making just 2 of 9 shots. Nikola Nokic is currently listed as probable for Sunday. He missed a few games with an illness but is working his way through it. Jamal Murray is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavs were on a five game losing streak before returning home and winning their last two games. First was a 118-97 victory over the Lakers. With Kyrie Irving out for a few weeks with a back injury, Quentin Grimes led the way with 23 points against LA. In their last game on Thursday night, they beat the Trailblazers 117-111. This time it was Jaden Hardy who stepped in to lead the team with 25 points on 5 of 9 shooting from 3. Klay Thompson scored just 3 points on 1 of 6 from the field.   

Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games

The UNDER is 3-2 in Denver’s last 5 games

Dallas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games

The UNDER is 4-2 in Dallas’ last 6 games

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction:

Lay the points with Denver on the road in this matchup. I think that the star power on the Nuggets is just going to overpower the Mavs in this one. Dallas is of course without Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving is also out for a few weeks. They’ve managed to pull out a few wins with some guys on the bench popping off but I think that ends here. Nikola Jokic played last game and finished with a triple-double so the illness isn’t hurting him too bad. Jamal Murray is a little bit more iffy but Russell Westbrook has been playing some very good basketball the last few games. This number feels too short. Especially with Denver covering in 6 of their last 8 games and Dallas only covering in 1 of their last 7 games.   

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction: Nuggets -4

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