Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
The top-seeded Denver Nuggets travel to Minnesota to take on the #8-seed Timberwolves on TNT Sunday night at 9:30 PM ET in Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Nuggets cover the 3.5-point spread as road favorites?
Denver leads the series 3-0.
The Denver Nuggets went 53-29 in the regular season. They are 3-0 in the playoffs this season. The Nuggets are 47-37-1 ATS on the year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves went 42-40 in the regular season. They’re 1-4 in the play-in and playoffs this season. The Timberwolves are 42-45 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
507 Denver Nuggets (-3.5) at 508 Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5); O/U 225
9:30 PM ET, Sunday, April 23, 2023
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 89% of public bettors are currently backing the Nuggets -3.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Denver small forward Michael Porter Jr. has been the Nuggets’ third-best player so far in these playoffs. In three postseason games, Porter is putting up 19.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, 1 steal, and 3.3 made three-pointers per game. He’s shooting 53.7% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc so far in these playoffs, and he should be considered when putting together your DFS lineup.
If you’re looking to save, Nuggets small forward Bruce Brown could be a cost-effective DFS option on Sunday. Brown is averaging 10.7 points, 3 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 1 steal in three postseason games so far. He might get some extra minutes if Denver gets a big lead in this game.
Minnesota Timberwolves DFS Spin
Timberwolves shooting guard Jaylen Nowell is officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Nuggets. He’s dealing with a left knee ailment. Nowell has been on the injury report for every game of this series but has played in all three games so far.
Minnesota center Karl-Anthony Towns is second on the club in scoring during these playoffs. He’s putting up 16 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 1.7 made three-pointers per game in three playoff contests for Minnesota this year. Towns scored 27 points on 10 of 17 shooting in the Timberwolves’ home loss to the Nuggets on Friday night, and he could post a similar stat line on Sunday, making him worthy of consideration in most DFS formats.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Betting Trends
Denver is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 first-round playoff games.
Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 first-round playoff games.
Minnesota is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Prediction
Denver has looked the part of the #1 seed in the Western Conference throughout this series. The Nuggets have won the first three games by an average of 15.7 points per game. Denver’s three stars Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Michael Porter Jr. are all averaging over 19 points per game and shooting better than 48% from the field in this series. What’s more, Denver seems to have Minnesota’s number. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Timberwolves, and Denver is 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games against the T’Wolves in Minnesota. I’ll take the Nuggets to complete the sweep on Sunday night in Minneapolis.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: DENVER NUGGETS -3.5
