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Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 Prediction: Will Milwaukee cover as home favorite?

Pacers vs. Cavs Game 1 Pacers vs. Cavs Game 1

The Indiana Pacers are riding high after stealing Game 3 on the road, taking a surprising 2-1 series lead over the heavily favored Milwaukee Bucks. Now, the pressure is squarely on the Bucks, who can’t afford to fall behind 3-1 before the series heads back to Indianapolis. Expect a fired-up Milwaukee team in a must-win situation — but the Pacers have shown they’re not intimidated. What’s the smart bet in tonight’s Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks

9:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, April 27, 2025

Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Bucks are 4.5-point home favorites versus the Pacers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 226 points.

Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 Public Betting: Bettors Leaning Indiana

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 51% of public bettors are currently backing the Pacers when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

What We’ve Seen So Far

Pacers:

Indiana has leaned into its strengths: pace, ball movement, and aggressive perimeter shooting. Tyrese Haliburton has been the engine, orchestrating the offense at an elite level, while Pascal Siakam’s playoff experience is shining through. Even without home court, the Pacers have been the more composed and explosive team at times.

Bucks:

Milwaukee’s offense has sputtered without a fully healthy Giannis Antetokounmpo (who has been limited with a lingering calf injury). Damian Lillard is doing his part, but the Bucks have struggled to generate consistent offense outside of their stars. Khris Middleton’s health remains a major question mark, and Milwaukee’s half-court sets have often looked stagnant.

Key Players to Watch

Indiana:

Tyrese Haliburton: If he controls the tempo again, Milwaukee could be in serious trouble.

Pascal Siakam: His playoff poise and two-way play have been a huge boost for Indy.

Myles Turner: His rim protection and ability to stretch the floor have given Milwaukee fits.

Milwaukee:

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Is he finally closer to 100%? The Bucks desperately need his full impact.

Damian Lillard: “Dame Time” has arrived, but he needs more help around him.

Bobby Portis: His energy off the bench could be crucial if the Bucks are going to shift the momentum.

Key Storylines

Giannis’ Health: If Giannis is still limited, Milwaukee’s margin for error shrinks dramatically.

Pacers’ Pace: Indiana wants a track meet — the faster the game, the more it favors them.

Milwaukee’s Defensive Adjustments: Can the Bucks slow down Indiana’s drive-and-kick action that burned them repeatedly in Game 3?

Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 NBA Prediction:

This feels like a true gut-check game for Milwaukee. Their season essentially hangs in the balance, and in front of a roaring Fiserv Forum crowd, expect the Bucks to lean heavily on experience, pride, and defensive intensity. Still, the Pacers won’t go quietly — they’re playing fearless basketball.

Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 Betting Prediction: MILWAUKEE BUCKS -4.5

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