Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction & Odds
The fourth-seeded Phoenix Suns travel to Denver to take on the top-seeded Nuggets on TNT Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Nuggets cover the 5.5-point spread as home favorites?
The series is tied 2-2.
The Phoenix Suns went 45-37 in the regular season. They are 6-3 in the playoffs this season. The Suns are 46-43-2 ATS on the year.
The Denver Nuggets went 53-29 in the regular season. They’re 6-3 in the playoffs this season. The Nuggets are 49-41-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
547 Phoenix Suns (+5.5) at 548 Denver Nuggets (-5.5); O/U 227.5
10:00 PM ET, Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Suns vs. Nuggets Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 80% of public bettors are currently backing the Nuggets -5.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Phoenix Suns DFS Spin
Phoenix point guard Chris Paul will miss his third straight game on Tuesday night. The veteran is dealing with a left groin strain. Paul is averaging 12.4 points, 7.4 assists, and 5 rebounds per game in 7 postseason games this year.
Suns power forward Kevin Durant has been one of the club’s most consistent performers in the playoffs this season. In this series, Durant is putting up 32 points, 10.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal, and 1.5 made three-pointers per game. Phoenix will likely need Durant to score 30+ points to stay competitive in this game and that should bolster his DFS value on Tuesday.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Denver center Nikola Jokic was an MVP candidate all season and has continued to play exceptionally during these playoffs. In the Nuggets’ Game 4 loss to Phoenix, Jokic scored 53 points on 20 of 30 shooting from the field and doled out 11 assists. He’s averaging 36.5 points per game in this series and should be primed for a big night on Tuesday in a game that Denver has to win.
Role players typically play better at home. Denver small forward Bruce Brown would qualify as a role player, and this game being played at Ball Arena should help boost his DFS value. In 9 playoff games, Brown is averaging 10.7 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.3 steals, and 2 made free throws per game. Brown scored 14 points at home in Game 1 of this series and could produce a similar scoring output on Tuesday.
Suns vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage over .600.
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an outright win.
Denver is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Suns vs. Nuggets NBA Prediction
The Nuggets jumped out to a 2-0 series lead by winning the first two games at home, then dropped the next two games in Phoenix to square things up at 2-2. In watching the series, Denver looked completely different at home than on the road. Some of that may have something to do with the altitude in Denver, which the Nuggets are used to and the Suns are not. What’s more, Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and the Nuggets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning straight-up record. I believe the Nuggets will take care of business at home and win by multiple possessions in Game 5 on Tuesday night.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: DENVER NUGGETS -5.5
