Warriors vs. Kings Prediction & Odds
The sixth-seeded Golden State Warriors head to Sacramento to take on the #3-seed Kings on ABC Sunday afternoon at 3:30 PM ET in Game 7 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Can the Kings cover the 1.5-point spread as home favorites?
The series is tied 3-3.
The Golden State Warriors went 44-38 in the regular season. They are 3-3 in the playoffs this season. The Warriors are 41-46-1 ATS on the year.
The Sacramento Kings went 48-34 in the regular season. They’re 3-3 in the playoffs this season. The Kings are 49-38-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
505 Golden State Warriors (+1.5) at 506 Sacramento Kings (-1.5); O/U 229
3:30 PM ET, Sunday, April 30, 2023
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Warriors vs. Kings Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 51% of public bettors are currently backing the Warriors +1.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Golden State Warriors DFS Spin
Warriors power forward Draymond Green will likely be a significant factor on Sunday. Green plays with a fearless nature and tends to rise to the occasion in big games. In 5 postseason games this year, Green is putting up 9.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, 8 assists, 2 steals, and 1 block per game. His potential impact makes him worth a flier in DFS this weekend.
Another Golden State player with confidence is shooting guard Jordan Poole. Poole has reached the 15-point mark in 3 of the 6 games in this series, and he may have enough open shots to hit that mark again on Sunday.
Sacramento Kings DFS Spin
Sacramento power forward Domantas Sabonis has been key to the Kings’ success in this series. In 6 playoff games, Sabonis is putting up 15.5 points, 11.5 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. His two biggest scoring outputs have come during home games and that factor makes him worth a look in DFS on Sunday.
Kings small forward Keegan Murray is coming on of late. The rookie out of Iowa is averaging 16 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 3.7 made three-pointers per game in his last three games. De’Aaron Fox should collapse the Warriors’ defense regularly on Sunday, and that should provide Murray with a full complement of open three-point attempts in Game 7.
Warriors vs. Kings NBA Betting Trends
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 first-round playoff games.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
Golden State is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 27-15-1 ATS this season when playing an opponent on equal rest.
Warriors vs. Kings NBA Prediction
Golden State has been one of the worst road teams in the NBA this season. The Warriors are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 road games and Golden State is 16-38-1 ATS in their last 55 road games against a team with a winning home record. What’s worse, Golden State has the worst ATS record in the league as a road team this year at 12-31.
Sacramento on the other hand has been the best offense in the NBA this season. The Kings are first in offensive efficiency and rank first in the NBA in points per game with 120.4. The biggest factor is the Kings’ lack of fear. They’ve continually answered the bell in this series and play as if they’re on the same level as the Warriors. I think they’re right to feel that way, and I believe we’ll see the unofficial end of Golden State’s dynastic run on Sunday afternoon. I’ll take the Kings to win the game and the series.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: SACRAMENTO KINGS -1.5
