Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction & Odds
The fifth-seeded Golden State Warriors travel to Denver to take on the top-seeded Nuggets on Sunday night at 8:30 PM ET on NBA TV. Can the Nuggets cover the 2.5-point spread as home favorites?
The Golden State Warriors are 41-37 on the season. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Warriors are 36-41-1 ATS on the year.
The Denver Nuggets are 51-26 on the season. They’re 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 41-35-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
529 Golden State Warriors (+2.5) at 530 Denver Nuggets (-2.5); O/U 232.5
8:30 PM ET, Sunday, April 2, 2023
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Warriors vs. Nuggets Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bettors are currently backing the Nuggets -2.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.
Golden State Warriors DFS Spin
Warriors forwards Andrew Wiggins and Andre Iguodala will miss Sunday’s game against the Nuggets. Wiggins has been dealing with a personal issue for six weeks and Iguodala is dealing with a left wrist fracture.
Warriors shooting guard Jordan Poole has been filling it up this season. The former Michigan standout is averaging 20.5 points and 2.6 made three-pointers per game this year. His counting stats aren’t bad either as he’s putting up 4.6 assists, 2.7 rebounds, and 0.8 steals per game. If you need volume scoring at your 2-guard spot, Poole should be able to help in that department on Sunday.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Nuggets superstar center Nikola Jokic has missed the club’s last two games with right calf tightness, and he’s officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s tilt with the Warriors. Jokic is nearly averaging a triple-double this season with a stat line of 24.9 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 9.9 assists per game. His status will loom large over this contest.
Regardless of Jokic’s injury status, Denver will likely count on point guard Jamal Murray to generate offense. Murray is averaging 20.2 points, 6.2 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, and 2.7 made three-pointers per game for the Nuggets this season. He topped the 20-point scoring mark 7 times last month and appears to be a good candidate to top that mark again against the Warriors on Sunday.
Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
Golden State is 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 road games.
Golden State is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a home winning percentage over .600.
Denver is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an outright loss.
Denver is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a winning straight-up record.
Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Prediction
The Nuggets have been excellent at home against subpar road teams. Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets have the fifth-best mark against the spread at home this season as they’re 23-15-1 and cover 60.5% of the time in Denver.
Golden State is the worst road team in the league against the number with an abysmal mark of 9-28 ATS this season. The Warriors are also terrible as a road underdog this season. Golden State is 5-14 ATS as a road underdog this year, which is the second-worst mark in the league. Finally, the Nuggets seem to have the Warriors’ number as Golden State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Denver. For all of the reasons above, I’ll lay the points with the Nuggets at home on Sunday.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: DENVER NUGGETS -2.5