Thursday March Madness Free Pick
(The Spread) – #4 Louisville takes on #1 Michigan State in the Sweet 16 from Phoenix on Thursday at 7:45pmET.
ODDS: The Michigan State Spartans have been installed as a 5-point favorite over the Louisville Cardinals for tonight’s game and the total is 125.5. The Spartans enter play with a 29-7 overall record, 5-2 in neutral games and are 16-16-1 O/U this season, while the Cards are 28-9 overall, 6-0 on a neutral floor and 14-20 UNDER.
LINE MOVEMENT: The total opened up as a 124 at most sports books and jumped to 125.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 58% of college basketball public bettors currently favor Massachusetts. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICK: Take the UNDER 125.5 in the Michigan State/Louisville game. According to the latest college basketball trends, the Cardinals are 0-4 UNDER last 4 games following a S.U. win., 0-5 UNDER L5 NCAA Tournament games, 1-7 UNDER L8 Thursday games and 7-18-1 UNDER in Cardinals last 26 neutral site games. Michigan State is 1-5 Under last 6 vs. Big East. These are two very good defensive teams, especially Michigan State, who allows just 58.7ppg. Even though Louisville wants to run, they average just 66.5 points per game and their last four games have gone UNDER. They scored just 59 points in their win over New Mexico and 50 points in the Big East title game against Cincinnati, a team that is very physical, just like Michigan State. The Spartans want to play halfcourt and make this an ugly game.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: UNDER 125.5 Michigan State/Louisville.
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