Number 5 Alabama and #4 Florida both remain in Nashville to face each other on Saturday afternoon. It’s the semifinals of the SEC Tournament. The game is at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN. Will Florida cover the 3.5-point spread as neutral-site favorites? Keep reading for our Alabama vs. Florida prediction.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 25-7 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 19-13 ATS this season.
The Florida Gators are 28-4 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 24-8 ATS this season.
Alabama vs. Florida Matchup & Betting Odds
615 Alabama Crimson Tide (+3.5) vs. 616 Florida Gators (-3.5); o/u 174
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, March 15, 2025
Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
TV: ESPN
Alabama vs. Florida Public Betting Information
Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 51% of public bettors are currently backing Florida when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Alabama Crimson Tide Game Notes
Crimson Tide guard Labaron Philon was sensational in his team’s 99-70 blowout win over Kentucky on Friday night. In that game, the freshman from Mobile, AL put up 21 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, and a blocked shot in 26 minutes. Philon shot 8 of 14 from the field in the victory.
Alabama guard Mark Sears also played well in his team’s game against the Wildcats on Friday. The fifth-year senior from Muscle Shoals, AL recorded 13 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, a steal, and a made three-pointer across 30 minutes. Sears leads Alabama in scoring this season with 19.2 points per game.
Florida Gators Game Notes
Gators guard Walter Clayton Jr. was exceptional in his team’s 95-81 win over Missouri on Friday night. The 6’3” senior logged 18 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 steals, and a blocked shot in 33 minutes of game action. Clayton shot 6 of 8 from the field and 3 of 4 from long range in the victory.
Florida guard Will Richard did a little bit of everything in his club’s game on Friday. The senior from Fairburn, GA registered 17 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, a steal, and 3 made three-pointers in 35 minutes of game action. Richard is third on the team in scoring with 13.3 points per game on the season.
Alabama vs. Florida CBB Betting Trends
Alabama is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
The Crimson Tide are 13-11 ATS after a win this season.
Alabama is 10-5 ATS when facing ranked opponents this year.
The over is 17-14-1 in Alabama’s games this season.
The under is 17-15 in Florida’s games this year.
Alabama vs. Florida CBB Prediction:
Alabama is on a bit of a hot streak against the number since the last week of February. Since February 22nd, Alabama is 5-1 against the spread. A few other numbers bolster the case for the Crimson Tide in this matchup. Alabama is 13-6 ATS in conference games and 3-2 ATS in neutral-site games this year. What’s more, the Crimson Tide are 11-8 ATS when playing an opponent on equal rest this season. Bama is also 6-3 ATS in conference tournament games since the start of the 2019 season. I think the Tide avenge their loss 99-94 loss to the Gators on March 5th in this top-5 showdown. I’m taking Alabama +3.5 over Florida at Bovada.lv.